Carlsberg A/S
CSE:CARL B
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CARL B stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 164.74 DKK. Compared to the current market price of 737.8 DKK, Carlsberg A/S is Undervalued by 37%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Carlsberg A/S
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Fundamental Analysis
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Carlsberg A/S, a cornerstone of the global brewing industry, has a rich history that dates back to its founding in 1847 in Copenhagen, Denmark. Originally established by the visionary brewer J.C. Jacobsen, Carlsberg has grown into one of the largest beer producers in the world, known for its flagship lager and a diverse portfolio of brands that caters to varying consumer tastes across more than 150 countries. As an investor, it's crucial to appreciate not just the company's historical significance, but also its strategic initiatives aimed at sustainability and innovation, including ambitious goals to achieve carbon neutrality by 2030. Carlsberg's commitment to quality and environmental respo...
Carlsberg A/S, a cornerstone of the global brewing industry, has a rich history that dates back to its founding in 1847 in Copenhagen, Denmark. Originally established by the visionary brewer J.C. Jacobsen, Carlsberg has grown into one of the largest beer producers in the world, known for its flagship lager and a diverse portfolio of brands that caters to varying consumer tastes across more than 150 countries. As an investor, it's crucial to appreciate not just the company's historical significance, but also its strategic initiatives aimed at sustainability and innovation, including ambitious goals to achieve carbon neutrality by 2030. Carlsberg's commitment to quality and environmental responsibility has positioned it favorably in an increasingly eco-conscious market.
Today, Carlsberg is focused on growth through both organic expansion and targeted acquisitions, bolstering its presence in emerging markets while maintaining its stronghold in established territories. With a robust financial performance reflected in steady revenue growth and a solid dividend policy, the company is dedicated to maximizing shareholder value. The brewing giant operates with a keen understanding of market dynamics and consumer preferences, leveraging data analytics and technology to enhance its product offerings and operational efficiency. As the industry navigates post-pandemic recovery and evolving consumer habits, Carlsberg's blend of tradition, innovation, and sustainability makes it an appealing prospect for investors looking to tap into the resilient and vital beverage sector.
Carlsberg A/S operates in the global beverage industry, primarily known for its production and distribution of beer. The company has several core business segments that contribute to its overall operations:
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Beer Production: This is the primary segment and includes the brewing and distribution of a wide range of beer brands. Carlsberg's portfolio consists of well-known brands such as Carlsberg, Tuborg, Grimbergen, and Baltika, among others. The focus is on both mainstream and premium beer segments.
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Non-Alcoholic Beverages: Carlsberg has also diversified into non-alcoholic beverages, including soft drinks and waters. This segment helps the company cater to health-conscious consumers and expand its market reach beyond alcoholic beverages.
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Regional Operations: Carlsberg operates in multiple regions, including Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia, and other international markets. Each region may focus on different product offerings and marketing strategies based on local preferences and consumption patterns.
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Sustainability and Innovation: While not a traditional segment, Carlsberg emphasizes sustainability in its operations, promoting initiatives such as environmentally friendly packaging, water conservation, and energy efficiency. This strategy is integrated across all business segments to enhance brand value and appeal to socially conscious consumers.
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Digital and E-commerce: In response to changing consumer behavior and market dynamics, Carlsberg is increasingly investing in digitalization and e-commerce strategies. This includes online sales platforms and digital marketing to reach consumers directly.
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Events and Sponsorships: Carlsberg engages in various sponsorships and events, which enhance brand recognition and loyalty. This includes partnerships with sports teams and cultural events, allowing for greater visibility in key markets.
Through these segments, Carlsberg A/S positions itself as a prominent player in the global beverage market, continuously evolving to meet consumer demands and market trends.
Carlsberg A/S, a prominent player in the brewing industry, enjoys several unique competitive advantages that help it maintain an edge over its rivals. Here are some key factors:
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Strong Brand Portfolio: Carlsberg boasts a diverse portfolio of well-established brands, including Carlsberg, Tuborg, and Kronenbourg. This strong brand recognition allows it to attract various consumer segments and weather competitive pressures.
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Global Distribution Network: Carlsberg has an extensive distribution network that spans numerous countries, enabling it to reach a wide audience and adapt to local market preferences effectively. This global presence helps mitigate risks associated with regional downturns.
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Innovation in Product Development: The company invests significantly in product innovation, adapting to changing consumer tastes, such as the demand for premium beers, non-alcoholic options, and craft-style beers. This agility in product offerings allows Carlsberg to stay relevant.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Carlsberg has committed to ambitious sustainability goals, including reducing carbon emissions and promoting responsible drinking. This focus on sustainability resonates with socially conscious consumers and strengthens its brand appeal.
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Economies of Scale: Being one of the largest brewers globally, Carlsberg benefits from economies of scale in production, distribution, and procurement, allowing it to maintain cost efficiencies that some smaller competitors may struggle to achieve.
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Strategic Acquisitions: Carlsberg has a history of acquiring brands and breweries to enhance its portfolio and expand its market reach. These strategic moves help them stay competitive and diversify their product offerings.
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R&D Capabilities: Investment in research and development allows Carlsberg to improve brewing techniques and explore new product lines, thereby maintaining a competitive edge in quality and taste.
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Strong Corporate Governance: Carlsberg emphasizes transparency and responsibility in its operations, which can enhance investor confidence and attract potential stakeholders compared to less transparent competitors.
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Consumer Insights and Marketing: Carlsberg leverages data analytics to understand consumer preferences better and tailor its marketing strategies accordingly, allowing for effective targeting and messaging.
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Local Market Adaptation: While being a global brand, Carlsberg has successfully localized its products to suit regional tastes, which helps in building stronger connections with local consumers.
These competitive advantages collectively contribute to Carlsberg's ability to navigate the complexities of the brewing market and sustain its performance against rivals.
Carlsberg A/S, like many companies in the beverage industry, faces a variety of risks and challenges. Here are some key considerations:
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Market Competition: The global beverage market is highly competitive, with a growing number of craft breweries and alternative alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. Carlsberg must continually innovate and differentiate its products to maintain market share.
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Consumer Preferences: Trends toward health consciousness can lead to decreased consumption of traditional alcoholic beverages. Carlsberg needs to adapt its product offerings to include low-alcohol, non-alcoholic, and healthier options.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global events, such as geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, can disrupt supply chains. Raw material shortages and logistic challenges can affect production and distribution.
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Pricing Pressures: Fluctuations in raw material costs, such as barley and hops, can impact profit margins. Additionally, economic downturns may force Carlsberg to reduce prices or offer promotions, affecting profitability.
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Regulatory Challenges: Changes in regulations regarding the production, marketing, and sale of alcoholic beverages can pose challenges. Compliance with varying regulations in different markets requires ongoing attention and adaptation.
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Sustainability Concerns: Increasing focus on environmental sustainability may require Carlsberg to invest significantly in greener processes and packaging. Meeting consumer demands for environmentally friendly products could entail substantial costs.
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Economic Conditions: Global economic uncertainties, including inflation and recession fears, can impact consumer spending on discretionary items like beer. This could lead to decreased sales volumes, especially in emerging markets.
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Digital Transformation: The shift towards e-commerce and digital marketing requires investment in technology and new strategies. Carlsberg will need to enhance its online presence and adapt to changing consumer behavior.
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Health and Safety Issues: The ongoing societal concerns about alcohol consumption and health could affect market dynamics. Carlsberg may need to navigate changing perceptions and engage in responsible marketing practices.
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Brand Management: Maintaining brand equity in a diverse market requires effective communication and marketing strategies. Missteps in brand perception can lead to loss of consumer trust and sales.
In summary, Carlsberg A/S faces a multifaceted landscape of risks and challenges that require strategic planning and adaptability to maintain its competitive position in the global beverage market.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Carlsberg A/S
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Carlsberg A/S
Current Assets | 29.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 10.7B |
Receivables | 12.3B |
Other Current Assets | 6.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 82.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 8.5B |
PP&E | 25.1B |
Intangibles | 49.2B |
Current Liabilities | 49.7B |
Accounts Payable | 25.8B |
Other Current Liabilities | 23.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 40.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 30.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 10.1B |
Earnings Waterfall
Carlsberg A/S
Revenue
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74.6B
DKK
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Cost of Revenue
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-40.7B
DKK
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Gross Profit
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33.9B
DKK
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Operating Expenses
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-23.3B
DKK
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Operating Income
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10.6B
DKK
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Other Expenses
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-51.2B
DKK
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Net Income
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-40.5B
DKK
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Carlsberg A/S
DKK | |
Free Cash Flow | DKK |
In a challenging cost environment, the company achieved strong revenue growth of 11%, spearheaded by a 10% improvement in revenue per hectoliter due to premium brand performance and price hikes across all markets. Asia and premium brands drove total volume growth, with organic operating profit up by 5%. Critical tasks included managing the disposal of the Russian business and initiating a second DKK 1 billion share buyback. The company is increasing marketing investments, yet faced a decline in operating margin to 24.3%. Adjusted earnings per share for the continuing business nudged up by 0.2%, with a net profit ending at DKK 3.5 billion. Cash flow was strong at DKK 4.3 billion. The outlook for organic operating profit growth has been upgraded to 4% to 7%, higher than previously expected.
What is Earnings Call?
CARL B Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Carlsberg A/S's profitability score is 42/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Carlsberg A/S's profitability score is 42/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CARL B Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Carlsberg A/S's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Carlsberg A/S's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CARL B Price Targets Summary
Carlsberg A/S
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CARL B is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Carlsberg A/S engages in the production and marketing of beer, craft and specialty, and non-alcoholic beer. The company is primarily engaged in the production, marketing and sale of beer and soft drinks. The Company’s beer portfolio spans core beer brands, craft & speciality brands and alcohol-free brews.Its operations are divided in geographical segments: Western Europe, Asia and Eastern & Central Europe. The firm is also present in a number of markets where it does not operate its own breweries, through license business and export.
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The intrinsic value of one CARL B stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 164.74 DKK.
Compared to the current market price of 737.8 DKK, Carlsberg A/S is Undervalued by 37%.